WN 2563 · DAL → MSY

departs 3:13 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.01 in

MSY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2563 · DAL → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?