WN 2964 · MDW → PIT

departs 1:21 PM CT · arrives 3:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2964 · MDW → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?