WN 300 · SNA → SJC

departs 11:58 AM PT · arrives 1:28 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from SNA are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,460 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 300 · SNA → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?