WN 3058 · SJC → SAN

departs 8:57 AM PT · arrives 10:31 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ SJC is prone to delays

↓ 8am departures from SJC are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3058 · SJC → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?