WN 3189 · PDX → OAK

departs 5:57 AM PT · arrives 7:49 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
98%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from PDX are usually not late

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3189 · PDX → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?