WN 3220 · MDW → CLE

departs 2:35 PM CT · arrives 5:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Arrivals into CLE at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3220 · MDW → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?