WN 3284 · PDX → SAN

departs 7:57 AM PT · arrives 10:31 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

SAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3284 · PDX → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?