Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3324
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WN 3324 · PDX → PHX
departs 4:17 PM PT · arrives 7:06 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Wed 10/28 25%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 29%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 36%
Mon 11/2 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
PDX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.09 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.