WN 3410 · ABQ → LAX

departs 12:43 PM MT · arrives 1:49 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3410 · ABQ → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?