WN 3435 · OAK → BOI

departs 10:56 AM PT · arrives 1:39 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOI?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3435 · OAK → BOI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOI?