Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 346
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WN 346 · HOU → MAF
departs 10:35 PM CT · arrives 12:12 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 30%
Mon 11/2 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 367 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MAF (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 367 ft Visibility 3.33333 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.