WN 3619 · RSW → STL

departs 1:46 PM ET · arrives 3:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3619 · RSW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?