WN 3686 · SJC → EUG

departs 10:52 AM PT · arrives 12:34 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EUG?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into EUG at that hour are often late

↑ SJC is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3686 · SJC → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?