WN 4317 · DAL → MCI

departs 1:29 PM CT · arrives 3:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4317 · DAL → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?