WN 4447 · BUR → BNA

departs 6:59 AM PT · arrives 12:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4447 · BUR → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?