WN 4489 · MDW → ALB

took off 8:20 PM CT · landed 10:43 PM ET (scheduled 6:50 PM CT → 9:54 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ALB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

ALB (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,429 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4489 · MDW → ALB

Odds over time

How late did it get to ALB?