Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 459
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WN 459 · DEN → LBB
departs 7:25 PM MT · arrives 10:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 34%
Sun 11/1 9%
Mon 11/2 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
LBB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LBB (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.