WN 4655 · MCI → LGA

took off 6:37 PM CT · landed 9:50 PM ET (scheduled 5:06 PM CT → 9:04 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4655 · MCI → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?