Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5088 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

WN 5088 · BNA → AUS

departs 11:45 AM CT · arrives 2:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 11am departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 5088 · BNA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?