Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 603
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WN 603 · TPA → BNA
departs 9:09 PM ET · arrives 10:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 35%
Sat 10/31 6%
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.06 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.