WN 739 · BNA → TPA

departs 9:34 AM CT · arrives 12:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↑ TPA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 739 · BNA → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?