WN 785 · AUS → ELP

departs 11:03 AM CT · arrives 11:51 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Arrivals into ELP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 785 · AUS → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?