WN 965 · ICT → MDW

departs 3:50 PM CT · arrives 5:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 965 · ICT → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?