Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1026
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WS 1026 · YYC → LAX
departs 7:40 PM MDT · arrives 10:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
WS's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.