WS 1166 · YYC → PHX

departs 7:56 PM MDT · arrives 10:06 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ WS's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

YYC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1166 · YYC → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?