WS 1461 · PSP → YYC

departs 2:41 PM PT · arrives 7:04 PM MDT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYC?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into YYC at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

PSP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1461 · PSP → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?