Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1485
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WS 1485 · SAN → YYC
departs 3:40 PM PT · arrives 7:48 PM MDT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at YYC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to YYC?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into YYC at that hour are usually not late
↓
YYC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
YYC (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.