WS 1831 · ATL → YYC

departs 9:13 AM ET · arrives 12:05 PM MDT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YYC?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ YYC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1831 · ATL → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?