Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1850
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WS 1850 · YVR → OGG
departs 6:40 PM PDT · arrives 9:59 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OGG is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
WS's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into OGG at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
YVR (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
OGG (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.