Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1851
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WS 1851 · OGG → YVR
departs 10:55 PM HT · arrives 7:37 AM PDT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 13%
Sat 10/31 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at YVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to YVR?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
10pm departures from OGG are usually not late
↓
Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2.33333 mi Precip 0.30 in
YVR (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.