Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
VOLARIS · FLIGHT Y4 703
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
Y4 703 · ORD → MEX
departs 1:49 AM CT · arrives 4:53 AM CST
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 10/28 12%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MEX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.