Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 3980SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YV 3980 · IAD → SDF
departs 12:52 PM ET · arrives 2:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.