tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4019 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 4019 · MFE → IAH

departs 5:21 AM CT · arrives 6:58 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
4% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    95%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.