YX 3476 · EWR → MEM

departs 9:37 PM ET · arrives 11:31 PM CT

Your aircraft is N758YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3460 from YYZ: landed 7:56 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3476 · EWR → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?