YX 3513 · ORD → PVD

left the gate 6:23 PM CT · taxiing (scheduled 5:50 PM CT → 9:20 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N753YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3671 from CLT: landed 4:47 PM CT.

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PVD?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PVD at that hour are often late

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3513 · ORD → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?