YX 3569 · ORD → YOW

took off 11:16 AM CT · landed 1:43 PM EDT (scheduled 10:53 AM CT → 2:04 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YOW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YOW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3569 · ORD → YOW

Odds over time

How late did it get to YOW?