YX 3654 · MCI → EWR

departs 6:06 AM CT · arrives 10:04 AM ET

Your aircraft is N741YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3588 from EWR: landed 7:42 PM CT.

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3654 · MCI → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?