YX 3670 · IAD → ROC

departs 10:16 PM ET · arrives 11:45 PM ET

Your aircraft is N740YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3663 from PIT: landed 8:42 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from IAD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,257 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3670 · IAD → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?