YX 3672 · RIC → ORD

departs 10:25 AM ET · arrives 11:38 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ RIC is prone to delays

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3672 · RIC → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?