YX 3696 · EWR → ORF

departs 9:13 PM ET · arrives 10:41 PM ET

Your aircraft is N743YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3587 from CMH: landed 7:37 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 9pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3696 · EWR → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?