Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4915SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
9E 4915 · LGA → JAX
departs 7:49 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%chance · ±13 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.