tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5170 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

9E 5170 · JFK → YYZ

departs 9:46 PM ET · arrives 11:17 PM EDT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.