Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5314 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

9E 5314 · AEX → ATL

departs 5:10 PM CT · arrives 7:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AEX

Weather at each end

AEX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,533 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5314 · AEX → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?