Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5498 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

9E 5498 · DTW → PIT

departs 5:55 PM ET · arrives 7:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PIT at that hour are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5498 · DTW → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?