Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 3021 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 30 Today

9K 3021 · MVY → BOS

departs 1:39 PM ET · arrives 2:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MVY

Weather at each end

MVY (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 3021 · MVY → BOS

Odds over time