Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 615 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 30 Today

9K 615 · MVY → JFK

departs 9:53 AM ET · arrives 10:56 AM ET

Your aircraft is C402 (C402).

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MVY

Weather at each end

MVY (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 615 · MVY → JFK

Odds over time