AA 1075 · SAT → DFW

departs 7:49 PM CT · arrives 9:13 PM CT

Your aircraft is N9017P (A319), coming in as AA 2368 from DFW: landed 6:52 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ SAT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.52 in

DFW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1075 · SAT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?