AA 1081 · DFW → TYS

departs 8:08 PM CT · arrives 11:19 PM ET

Your aircraft is N906AN (B738), coming in as AA 1497 from FLL: landed 6:47 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

TYS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1081 · DFW → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?