tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1206 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AA 1206 · DFW → BOS

departs 8:50 AM CT · arrives 1:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 94h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Friday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
32% chance · ±27 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOS?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.