tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1294 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:28 PM ET, ETA 9:12 PM CT)
Today

AA 1294 · RDU → ORD

took off 8:28 PM ET · expected to land 9:12 PM CT (scheduled 8:23 PM ET → 9:52 PM CT)
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.